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Mississauga—Lakeshore (federal electoral district)

Coordinates: 43°33′14″N 79°36′36″W / 43.554°N 79.610°W / 43.554; -79.610
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Mississauga—Lakeshore
Ontario electoral district
Mississauga—Lakeshore in relation to the other Mississauga ridings
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Charles Sousa
Liberal
District created1976
First contested1979
Last contested2022 by-election
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]118,893
Electors (2015)85,379
Area (km²)[2]92
Pop. density (per km²)1,292.3
Census division(s)Peel
Census subdivision(s)Mississauga
Map of Mississauga—Lakeshore (formerly Mississauga South)

Mississauga—Lakeshore (formerly Mississauga South) is a federal electoral district in Peel Region, Ontario, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1979.

Geography

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The riding includes the Mississauga neighbourhoods of Clarkson, Lakeview, Lorne Park, Mineola, Port Credit, Sheridan, Sheridan Park, Southdown and parts of Erindale and Cooksville.

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[3]

Ethnic groups: 63.7% White, 10.1% South Asian, 5.1% Chinese, 4.9% Black, 3.3% Arab, 3.3% Filipino, 1.9% Latin American, 1.5% Southeast Asian, 1.3% Indigenous, 1.2% West Asian
Languages: 65.5% English, 4.1% Polish, 2.4% Mandarin, 2.4% Arabic, 2.2% Portuguese, 2.0% Urdu, 1.9% French, 1.9% Spanish, 1.8% Italian, 1.5% Tagalog, 1.3% Serbo-Croatian
Religions: 58.5% Christian (34.8% Catholic, 3.9% Anglican, 3.6% Christian Orthodox, 3.3% United Church, 1.4% Presbyterian, 1.1% Baptist, 11.6% Others), 8.9% Muslim, 3.1% Hindu, 1.1% Buddhist, 26.4% No religion
Median income (2020): $45,600
Average income (2020): $73,900

Political geography

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Conservative support is centred in the central part of the riding, particularly in the upscale Lorne Park and Mineola areas, while the Liberals tend to do better along the waterfront of the riding, such as Port Credit and Lakeview, and the eastern and western edges of the riding in neighbourhoods like Clarkson and Sheridan.

History

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The federal riding was created in 1976 from parts of Mississauga.

It consisted initially of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from west to east along Highway 5 (Dundas Street), south along Cawthra Road, and east along the Queen Elizabeth Way.

In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, east along the Credit River, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Cawthra Road, and northeast along the Queensway East to the eastern city limit.

Map of the riding (1996 boundaries)

In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, southeast along Erin Mills Parkway, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Hurontario Street, northeast along the Queensway East to the northeastern city limit.

In 2003, it was given its current boundaries as described above.

In 2013, the riding gained the area around Huron Park, and was renamed Mississauga—Lakeshore. It was defined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying southeast of a line drawn from northeast to southwest along the Queensway to Mavis Road, north along Mavis Road until Dundas Street and west along Dundas Street to the southwestern city limit.

Since the 2015 Canadian Federal election, the Liberal Party of Canada has succeeded in holding Mississauga—Lakeshore as they have done in 2015, 2019 and 2021 elections with significant margins over 45%. This trend is aligned with the continued Liberal Party of Canada's dominance of Greater Toronto Area politics and seats.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after approximately April 2024, It will gain part of Mississauga East—Cooksville south of Dundas Street and west of Stillmeadow Road.[4]

Electoral history

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The Mississauga South riding and its precursors, while being more competitive than in provincial elections, still has a generally conservative history, and despite voting Liberal since 1993, could be described as a small "c" conservative riding. The Progressive Conservatives held the riding from creation its first election in 1979 under Don Blenkarn, (who served as MP for Peel South, one of the precursor ridings between 1972 and 1974), until 1993, when he was defeated by Paul Szabo. With the exception of the 1988 election, Szabo has been the Liberal candidate in all election between 1980 (an election he almost won) and 2011.

The riding voting Liberal in 1993 can in part be blamed by vote-splitting on the right, as Blenkarn was knocked into third place by the Reform Party candidate, although both were far behind Szabo, who only marginally improved on the Liberal performance from 1988, winning 37%, only 2% more than the 1988 Liberal result, and less than the combined vote total for the two right-wing parties. Szabo however greatly increased his percentage of the vote in the elections afterward, winning over 50% in every election from 1997 to 2004, despite facing a united right-wing vote in 2004.

In the 2006 election Szabo and the Liberals were re-elected again; however, the Liberal vote dropped sharply, with the Conservatives coming within 5% of winning the riding, getting 40% of the vote, one of the best performances for them in the Greater Toronto Area. The riding was generally assumed to be a top Tory target for the next election; however, the drawn-out and somewhat acrimonious nature of the Conservative nomination process, and Szabo's increased profile as a result of his chairmanship of the House of Commons Ethics committee may have damaged Conservative attempts to capture the riding. Despite the Conservatives strengthening in the 2008 election overall, Arrison was unable to defeat Szabo, and Mississauga South was one of the few ridings outside Quebec where the Liberal Party increased the percentage of the vote received from 2006 (albeit very slightly).

From 2011 to 2015 the riding was held by the Conservatives, however, starting in 2015 as a part of the overall Liberal dominance of Greater Toronto Area seats and ridings, the riding has gone and stayed Liberal. Incumbent Sven Spengemann defeated Conservative Stella Ambler in 2015 and 2019 and Conservative challenger Michael Ras in the 2021 snap election.

In May 2022, Spengemann announced his resignation in order to accept a position with the United Nations, prompting a by-election. Throughout the summer the Conservatives nominated Peel Police officer and gang prevention expert Ron Chhinzer, the NDP put forward Julia Kole - a party staffer, and the Greens nominated Mary Kidnew - a climate activist.

By November the Liberals nominated Charles Sousa, former Ontario Finance Minister (2013-2018) and MPP for Mississauga—Lakeshore (2007-2018), and by the following days, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called the by-election (November 12) for an election day of December 12.

Sousa won the by-election soundly on Monday, December 12, 2022, capturing just over 51% of the vote which is the highest Liberal vote share in Mississauga—Lakeshore in years. The Conservatives trailed with 37% of the vote with the NDP and Greens collecting last than 5% of the vote, respectively.

Riding associations

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Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:

Party Association name CEO HQ address
Conservative Mississauga—Lakeshore Conservative Association Brian J. Schmidt 1801 Lakeshore Road West
Liberal Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal Liberal Association
New Democratic Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal NDP Riding Association Eric S. Guerbilsky 44 Park Street East

Members of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of the House of Commons of Canada:

Parliament Years Member Party
Mississauga South
Riding created from Mississauga
31st  1979–1980     Don Blenkarn Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
34th  1988–1993
35th  1993–1997     Paul Szabo Liberal
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015     Stella Ambler Conservative
Mississauga—Lakeshore
42nd  2015–2019     Sven Spengemann Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2022
 2022–present Charles Sousa

Election results

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Graph of election results in Mississauga South, Mississauga—Lakeshore (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Mississauga—Lakeshore (2013-present)

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Graph of election results in Mississauga—Lakeshore (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)


Canadian federal by-election, December 12, 2022
Resignation of Sven Spengemann
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Charles Sousa 12,766 51.45 +6.50
Conservative Ron Chhinzer 9,215 37.14 -1.54
New Democratic Julia Kole 1,231 4.96 -4.79
Green Mary Kidnew 792 3.19 +0.94
People's Khaled Al-Sudani 293 1.18 -3.03
Independent Sean Carson 48 0.19
Independent Charles Currie 44 0.18
Independent Patrick Strzalkowski 38 0.15
Independent Peter House 31 0.12
Independent Mélodie Anderson 29 0.12
Rhinoceros Sébastien CoRhino 24 0.10 -0.07
Independent Conrad Lukawski 23 0.09
Independent Adam Smith 23 0.09
Independent Stephen Davis 21 0.08
Independent Marie-Hélène LeBel 17 0.07
Independent Eliana Rosenblum 17 0.07
Independent Myriam Beaulieu 16 0.06
Independent Roger Sherwood 14 0.06
Independent John The Engineer Turmel 14 0.06
Independent Jevin David Carroll 12 0.05
Independent Spencer Rocchi 12 0.05
Independent Tomas Szuchewycz 12 0.05
Independent Julie St-Amand 11 0.04
Independent Mark Dejewski 11 0.04
Independent Julian Selody 10 0.04
Independent Ben Teichman 10 0.04
Independent Mylène Bonneau 9 0.04
Independent Kerri Hildebrandt 9 0.04
Independent Line Bélanger 8 0.03
Independent Alexandra Engering 8 0.03
Independent Samuel Jubinville 8 0.03
Independent Jean-Denis Parent Boudreault 7 0.03
Independent Daniel Gagnon 7 0.03
Independent Darcy Justin Vanderwater 6 0.02
Independent Donovan Eckstrom 5 0.02
Independent Donald Gagnon 5 0.02
Independent Martin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville 3 0.01
Independent Ysack Dupont 2 0.01
Independent Pascal St-Amand 2 0.01
Independent Alain Lamontagne 1 0.00
Total valid votes 24,814
Total rejected ballots 135 0.54
Turnout 24,949 27.76
Eligible voters 89,863
Liberal hold Swing +4.02
Source: Elections Canada[5][6]
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Sven Spengemann 25,284 44.94 -3.46 $100,636.46
Conservative Michael Ras 21,761 38.68 +1.40 $95,632.95
New Democratic Sarah Walji 5,488 9.75 +1.39 $6.00
People's Vahid Seyfaie 2,367 4.21 +3.03 $646.34
Green Elizabeth Robertson 1,265 2.25 -2.36 $1,660.10
Rhinoceros Kayleigh Tahk 94 0.17 - $8.07
Total valid votes/Expense limit 56,259 99.08 $117,701.69
Total rejected ballots 524 0.92 +0.26
Turnout 56,783 63.79 -4.12
Eligible voters 89,017
Liberal hold Swing -2.43
Source: Elections Canada[7]
2021 federal election redistributed results[8]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 25,822 45.01
  Conservative 22,134 38.58
  New Democratic 5,606 9.77
  People's 2,444 4.26
  Green 1,265 2.20
  Others 101 0.18
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Sven Spengemann 29,526 48.40 +0.69 $104,588.59
Conservative Stella Ambler 22,740 37.28 -3.95 $110,262.85
New Democratic Adam Laughton 5,103 8.37 +0.38 none listed
Green Cynthia Trentelman 2,814 4.61 +2.26 $2,524.73
People's Eugen Vizitiu 717 1.18 - none listed
United  Carlton Darby 99 0.16 - $0.00
Total valid votes 60,999 99.34
Total rejected ballots 407 0.66 +0.21
Turnout 61,406 67.91 -0.79
Eligible voters 90,419
Liberal hold Swing +2.32
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Sven Spengemann 28,279 47.71 +10.86 $74,169.40
Conservative Stella Ambler 24,435 41.22 -5.68 $221,638.11
New Democratic Eric Guerbilsky 4,735 7.99 -4.80 $6,908.86
Green Ariana Burgener 1,397 2.36 -0.72 $1,924.23
Libertarian Paul Wodworth 316 0.53 - $1,166.63
Marxist–Leninist Dagmar Sullivan 111 0.19 -
Total valid votes/expense limit 59,273 99.54 - $224,818.71
Total rejected ballots 271 0.46
Turnout 59,544 68.70
Eligible voters 86,675
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +8.27
2011 federal election redistributed results[10]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 24,269 46.91
  Liberal 19,068 36.85
  New Democratic 6,616 12.79
  Green 1,592 3.08
  Others 195 0.38

Mississauga South (1976-2013)

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Graph of election results in Mississauga South (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Stella Ambler 22,991 46.48 +6.89
Liberal Paul Szabo 18,393 37.18 -7.04
New Democratic Farah Kalbouneh 6,354 12.85 +4.00
Green Paul Simas 1,532 3.10 -4.25
Independent Richard Barrett 194 0.39
Total valid votes 49,464 99.62
Total rejected ballots 188 0.38 +0.05
Turnout 49,652 63.21 +3.13
Eligible voters 78,551
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +6.97
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Paul Szabo 20,518 44.22 +0.05 $70,011
Conservative Hugh Arrison 18,366 39.59 -0.50 $81,878
New Democratic Matt Turner 4,104 8.85 -1.91 $1,722
Green Richard Laushway 3,407 7.34 +2.75 $9,008
Total valid votes/Expense limit 46,395 99.67 $84,179
Total rejected ballots 155 0.33 -0.10
Turnout 46,550 60.08 -8.23
Eligible voters 77,479
Liberal hold Swing +0.28
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Szabo 23,018 44.17 -7.50
Conservative Phil Green 20,888 40.09 +6.46
New Democratic Mark De Pelham 5,607 10.76 +0.26
Green Brendan Tarry 2,393 4.59 +0.61
Canadian Action Paul McMurray 129 0.25
Marxist–Leninist Dagmar Sullivan 74 0.14 -0.08
Total valid votes 52,109 99.56
Total rejected ballots 229 0.44 +0.06
Turnout 52,338 68.31 +5.24
Eligible voters 76,614
Liberal hold Swing -6.98
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Szabo 24,628 51.67 -0.14
Conservative Phil Green 16,027 33.62 -9.14
New Democratic Michael James Culkin 5,004 10.50 +6.51
Green Neeraj Jain 1,899 3.98
Marxist–Leninist Dagmar Sullivan 107 0.22
Total valid votes 47,665 99.62
Total rejected ballots 183 0.38
Turnout 47,848 63.07
Eligible voters 75,866
Liberal hold Swing +4.50

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election. Change is based on redistributed results.

2000 federal election redistributed results[11]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 22,249 51.81
  Canadian Alliance 10,809 25.17
  Progressive Conservative 7,555 17.59
  New Democratic 1,712 3.99
  Others 620 1.44
2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Szabo 20,676 51.8 +1.8
Alliance Brad Butt 10,139 25.4 +5.8
Progressive Conservative David Brown 6,903 17.3 -6.4
New Democratic Ken Cole 1,636 4.1 -1.3
Green Pamela Murray 516 1.3
Marxist–Leninist Tim Sullivan 67 0.2 0.0
Total valid votes 39,937 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Szabo 21,207 49.9 +3.4
Progressive Conservative Dick Barr 10,077 23.7 +0.4
Reform Joe Peschisolido 8,307 19.6 -5.6
New Democratic Jessica Lott 2,302 5.4 +3.3
Natural Law Scott Kay 199 0.5 0.0
Canadian Action Aaron Gervais 150 0.4
Independent Adrian Earl Crewson 141 0.3
Marxist–Leninist Dagmar Sullivan 79 0.2 +0.1
Total valid votes 42,462 100.0
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paul Szabo 21,480 46.6 +11.9
Reform John Veenstra 11,591 25.1
Progressive Conservative Don Blenkarn 10,763 23.3 -28.6
New Democratic Lili V. Weemen 988 2.1 -9.8
National Albina Burello 452 1.0
Libertarian Richard Barrett 429 0.9 +0.3
Natural Law Jeffrey graduate Dods 234 0.5
Independent Michael John Charette 124 0.3
Marxist–Leninist Dagmar Sullivan 49 0.1
Total valid votes 46,110 100.0
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Don Blenkarn 24,482 51.9 -4.5
Liberal Gil Gillespie 16,362 34.7 +5.8
New Democratic Sue Craig 5,643 12.0 -2.7
Rhinoceros Marc Currie 332 0.7
Libertarian Vay Jonynas 297 0.6
Commonwealth of Canada Patrick Descoteaux 59 0.1
Total valid votes 47,175 100.0
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Don Blenkarn 32,946 56.4 +15.0
Liberal Paul Szabo 16,874 28.9 -11.6
New Democratic Norm Jones 8,584 14.7 -2.1
Total valid votes 58,404 100.0
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Don Blenkarn 21,480 41.4 -7.5
Liberal Paul Szabo 21,007 40.5 +6.4
New Democratic Neil Davis 8,711 16.8 +0.6
Libertarian Ian F. Darwin 405 0.8 +0.4
Independent Tom Smith 110 0.2 0.0
Independent Michael John Charette 78 0.2
Marxist–Leninist Tim Sullivan 31 0.1 -0.1
Total valid votes 51,822 100.0
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Don Blenkarn 26,802 48.9
Liberal Peg Holloway 18,710 34.1
New Democratic Colin Baynes 8,869 16.2
Libertarian Robert Sproule 236 0.4
Independent Tom Smith 104 0.2
Marxist–Leninist Barbara Nunn 74 0.1
Total valid votes 54,795 100.0

See also

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References

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  • "Mississauga—Lakeshore (federal electoral district) (Code 35050) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • federal riding history from the Library of Parliament
  • 2011 Results from Elections Canada
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

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43°33′14″N 79°36′36″W / 43.554°N 79.610°W / 43.554; -79.610